Ecosystem and population modeling - Conservation Science Partners
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Ecosystem & population modeling

CSP draws on contemporary modeling approaches to identify the key drivers of ecosystem or population dynamics over biologically relevant spatial and temporal scales. We use these tools to model land use, climate change, and adaptation scenarios and to estimate key population-level metrics such as occupancy, density, resource selection, survival, energy budgets, and disease prevalence, especially their response to management alternatives in terrestrial or marine systems. We also identify the influence of disturbance, including fire and non-native species invasion, on habitat connectivity and other fundamental ecological processes. Our work often identifies quantitatively based mitigation or restoration strategies. We specialize in applied research on protected species and habitats.

Recent Projects

  • Confronting ecological drought: vulnerabilities, strategies, and tools for proactive planning for people and nature [more]
  • Working with partners in the High-Divide region of Idaho to estimate potential connectivity for focal wildlife species under current and future climates
  • Assessing impacts of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill on protected marine species to inform comprehensive restoration planning [more]
  • Using conservation physiology approaches to characterize critical habitat for leatherback turtles in the Atlantic Ocean [more]
  • Using an extensive camera-trap network to measure and monitor patterns of multispecies habitat occupancy in northern Arizona
  • Quantifying the effects of changing hydroperiod on the reproductive occupancy of threatened California tiger salamander in vernal pool and seasonal wetlands in California [more]
  • Developing models to forecast the exposure of bats to white nose syndrome, a deadly disease that is spreading westward across North America [news story]
  • Mapping core habitats and habitat linkages for pronghorn populations in the western U.S. [more]
  • Evaluating trends in the demographic rates of Columbia spotted frogs
  • Assessing risk of invasive feral swine impacts to threatened and endangered species across the U.S. [more]
  • Generating contemporary estimates of status and trends for multiple populations of giant garter snakes in the Central Valley of California [more]
  • Estimating landscape connectivity for mule deer, elk, and Canada lynx throughout Colorado’s West Slope under current and projected land use and traffic conditions to inform priorities for mitigating highway impacts on wildlife movement
  • Deriving contemporary models and maps of jaguar habitat and connectivity across the borderlands region of the southwestern U.S. and northern Mexico [more]
  • Developing model-based frameworks to identify critical habitat features and map conservation opportunities for giant garter snake populations under land use and climate changes