CSP Staff Publications from April 2012–Present
Climate Change in Wildlands: Pioneering Approaches to Science and Management
Island Press | June 2016
Description: Scientists have been warning for years that human activity is heating up the planet and climate change is under way. In the past century, global temperatures have risen an average of 1.3 degrees Fahrenheit, a trend that is expected to only accelerate ... MORE
Ecologically relevant maps of landforms and physiographic diversity for climate adaptation planning
PLoS ONE |December 2015
Abstract: Key to understanding the implications of climate and land use change on biodiversity and natural resources is to incorporate the physiographic platform on which changes in ecological systems unfold ... MORE
Space use by Swainson’s Hawk (Buteo swainsoni) in the Natomas Basin, California
Collabra | April 2016
Abstract: We used satellite-based remote sensing to estimate home ranges for Swainson’s Hawk, a species listed as threatened in California (USA), on its breeding grounds in the Natomas Basin (northern Central Valley, California) ... MORE
Applying fire connectivity and centrality measures to mitigate the cheatgrass-fire cycle in the arid West, USA
Landscape Ecology | March 2016
Abstract: Strategic placement of fuel treatments across large landscapes is an important step to mitigate the collective effects of fires interacting over broad spatial and temporal extents. On landscapes where highly invasive cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum) ... MORE
+ In press or accepted
Leu, M., M.L. Farnsworth, E. Fleishman, D. Dobkin, R.D. Scherer, B.R. Noon, and B.G. Dickson. In press. Effects of point-count duration on estimated detection probabilities and occupancy of breeding birds. Journal of Field Ornithology.
McClure, M.L., B.G. Dickson, and K Nicholson. Accepted. Modeling connectivity to identify current and future anthropogenic barriers to movement of large carnivores: a case study in the American Southwest. Ecology and Evolution.
Brand, L.A., Farnsworth, M.L., Meyers, J., Dickson, B.G.,Grouios, C.,Scheib, A.F., and Scherer, R.D. 2016. Mitigation-driven translocation effects on temperature, condition, growth, and mortality of Mojave desert tortoise (Gopherus agassizii) in the face of solar energy development. Biological Conservation. DOI:10.1016/j.biocon.2016.05.032
Dickson, B.G., C.M Albano, B.H. McRae, J.J. Anderson, D.M. Theobald, L.J. Zachmann, T.D. Sisk, & M.P. Dombeck. 2016. Informing strategic efforts to expand and connect protected areas using a model of ecological flow, with application to the western US. Conservation Letters. DOI:10.1111/conl.12322
Fleishman, E., J. Anderson, B.G. Dickson, D. Krolick, J.A. Estep, R.L. Anderson, C.S. Elphick, D.S. Dobkin, and D.A. Bell. 2016. Space use by Swainson’s Hawk (Buteo swainsoni) in the Natomas Basin, California. Collabra 2(1):1–12.
Gray, M.E. and B.G. Dickson. 2016. Applying fire connectivity and centrality measures to mitigate the cheatgrass-fire cycle in the arid West, USA. Landscape Ecology. DOI: 10.1007/s10980-016-0353-2
Hansen, A. J., W. Monahan, D.M. Theobald, S. T. Olliff (eds.). 2016. Climate Change in Wildlands: Pioneering Approaches to Science and Management. Island Press.
Harrison-Atlas, D., D.M. Theobald, and J. H. Goldstein. 2016. A systematic review of approaches to quantify hydrologic ecosystem services to inform decision-making. International Journal of Biodiversity Science, Ecosystem Services & Management. DOI: 10.1080/21513732.2016.1181105
Jones, A.S., J.J. Anderson, B.G. Dickson, S. Boe, and E.S. Rubin. 2016. Off-highway vehicle road networks and kit fox space use. Journal of Wildlife Management. DOI: 10.1002/jwmg.21204
McClure, M.L., A.J. Hansen, and R.M. Inman. 2016. Connecting models to movements: testing connectivity model predictions against empirical migration and dispersal. Landscape Ecology DOI: 10.1007/s10980-016-0347-0
McGuire, J.L., J.J. Lawler, B.H. McRae, T.A. Nunez, and D.M. Theobald. 2016. Achieving climate connectivity in a fragmented landscape. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113(26): 7195-7200.
Muths, E., R.D. Scherer, S.M. Amburgey, T. Matthews, A.W. Spencer, and P.S. Corn. 2016. First estimates of the probability of survival in a small-bodied, high-elevation frog (Boreal Chorus Frog, Pseudacris maculata), or how historical data can be useful. Canadian Journal of Zoology 94:599-606.
Salo, J.A., D.M. Theobald, and T.C. Brown. 2016. Evaluation of methods for delineating riparian zones in a semi-arid montane watershed. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 1-16. DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.12414.
Salo, J.A., and D.M. Theobald. 2016. A multi-scale, hierarchical model to map riparian zones. River Research and Applications. DOI: 10.1002/rra.3019
Theobald, D.M. 2016. A General-Purpose Spatial Survey Design for Collaborative Science and Monitoring of Global Environmental Change: The Global Grid. Remote Sensing. 8(10):813. DOI: 10.3390/rs8100813
Albano, C.M. 2015. Identification of geophysically diverse locations that may facilitate species’ persistence and adaptation to climate change. Landscape Ecology. DOI: 10.1007/s10980-015-0167-7.
Anderson, M.G., Comer, P.J., Beier, P., Lawler, J.J., Schloss, C.A., Buttrick, S., Albano, C.M. and Faith, D.P. 2015. Case studies of conservation plans that incorporate geodiversity. Conservation Biology 29: 680–691.
Albano, C.M., Dettinger, M.D., McCarthy, M.I., Schaller, K.D., Welborn, T.L., and Cox, D.A. 2015. Application of an extreme winter storm scenario to identify vulnerabilities, mitigation options, and science needs in the Sierra Nevada mountains, USA. Natural Hazards. DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-2003-4.
Bosch, J., S. Fernandez-Beaskoetxea, R.D. Scherer, S.M. Amburgey, and E. Muths. 2015. Demography of common toads after local extirpation of co-occurring Midwife Toads. Amphibia-Reptilia 3:293-303.
Brodie, J., A. Giordano, B.G. Dickson, M. Hebblewhite, H. Bernard, J. Mohd-Azlan, J. Anderson, and L. Ambu. 2015. Evaluating multispecies landscape connectivity in a threatened tropical mammal community. Conservation Biology 29:122-132.
Dickson, B.G., V. Frary, S.E. Sesnie, and J.M. Rundall. 2015 New methods and hierarchical models for estimating intensity of habitat use by Merriam’s Turkey in managed forests of northern Arizona. Pages 41-59 in L.F. Huenneke, C. van Riper and K. Hays-Gilpin, eds., Science and Management at the Landscape Scale. University of Arizona Press, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Farnsworth M.L., B.G. Dickson, L.J. Zachmann, E.E. Hegeman, A.R. Cangelosi, T.G. Jackson, Jr., and A.F. Scheib. 2015. Short-term space-use patterns of translocated Mojave desert tortoise in southern California. PLoS ONE 10(9): e0134250. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0134250
Gray, M.E. and B.G. Dickson. 2015. A new model of landscape-scale fire connectivity applied to resource and fire management in the Sonoran Desert, USA. Ecological Applications. DOI: 10.1890/14-0367.1.
Hansen, E., R.D. Scherer, G.C. White, B.G. Dickson, and E. Fleishman. 2015. Estimates of survival probability from two populations of giant gartersnakes in California’s Great Central Valley. Copeia 103:1026-1036.
Hoglander, C.H., B.G. Dickson, S.S. Rosenstock, and J. Anderson. 2015. Landscape models of space use by desert bighorn sheep in the Sonoran Desert of southwestern Arizona. Journal of Wildlife Management 79:77-91.
Hudson, H., S.E. Sesnie, B.G. Dickson, and L. Thomas. 2015. Cross-jurisdictional monitoring for non-native plant invasions using an NDVI change detection index in Walnut Canyon National Monument. Pages 23-40 in L.F. Huenneke, C. van Riper and K. Hays-Gilpin, eds., Science and Management at the Landscape Scale. University of Arizona Press, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Lawler, J.J., Ackerly, D.D., Albano, C.M., Anderson, M.G., Dobrowski, S.Z., Gill, J.L., Heller, N.E., Pressey, R.L., Sanderson, E.W. and Weiss, S.B. 2015. The theory behind, and the challenges of, conserving nature’s stage in a time of rapid change. Conservation Biology 29: 618–629.
McClure, M.L., C.L. Burdett, M.L. Farnsworth, M.W. Lutman, D.M. Theobald, P.D. Riggs, D.A. Grear, and R.S. Miller. 2015. Modeling and mapping the probability of occurrence of invasive wild pigs across the contiguous United States. PLoS ONE, e0133771. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0133771
Pilliod, D.S., and R.D. Scherer. 2015. Managing habitat to slow or reverse population declines of the Columbia spotted frog in the northern Great Basin. Journal of Wildlife Management 79:579-590.
Schmitz, O.J., J.J. Lawler, P. Beier, C. Groves, G. Knight, D.A. Boyce, Jr., J. Bulluck, K.M .Johnston, M.L. Klein, K. Muller, D.J. Pierce, W.R. Singleton, J.R. Stritthold, D.M. Theobald, S.C. Trombulak, and A. Trainor. 2015. Conserving biodiversity: Practical guidance about climate change adaptation approaches in support of land-use planning. Natural Areas Journal 35:190-203.
Theobald D.M., D. Harrison-Atlas, W.B. Monahan, and C.M. Albano. 2015. Ecologically relevant maps of landforms and physiographic diversity for climate adaptation planning. PLoS ONE 10(12): e0143619
Bernstein, E.J., C.M. Albano, T.D. Sisk, T.M. Crews, and S.S. Rosenstock. 2014. Seeding cool-season grasses on a degraded rangeland on the Colorado Plateau. Restoration Ecology. 22:57-64.
Dickson, B.G., L.J. Zachmann, and C.M. Albano. 2014. Systematic identification of potential conservation priority areas on roadless Bureau of Land Management lands in the western United States. Biological Conservation. DOI:10.1016/j.biocon.2014.08.001
Dickson, B.G., T.D. Sisk, S.E. Sesnie, J.M. Rundall, R.T. Reynolds, S.S. Rosenstock, C. Vojta, and M.F. Ingraldi. 2014. Integrating single-species management and landscape conservation using regional habitat occurrence models. Landscape Ecology 29:803-815.
Fleishman, E., J.R. Thomson, E.L. Kalies, B.G. Dickson, D. Dobkin, and M. Leu. 2014. Projecting current and future location of habitat for breeding birds in the Great Basin. Ecosphere 5(7):82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/ES13-00387.1.
Gray, M., B.G. Dickson, and L.J. Zachmann. 2014. Modeling and mapping dynamic variability in large fire risk in the lower Sonoran Desert of southwestern Arizona. Intl. Journal of Wildland Fire. DOI:10.1071/WF13115.
Hansen, A.J., N.B. Piekielek, C. Davis, J.R. Haas, D.M. Theobald, J.E. Gross, W.B. Monahan, T. Olliff, and S.W. Running. 2014. Exposure of U.S. national parks to land use and climate change 1900-2100. Ecological Applications 24(3): 484-502.
Hegeman, E E., B.G. Dickson, and L.J. Zachmann. 2014. Probabilistic models of fire occurrence across federal management units in the Mojave Desert Network, U.S.A. Landscape Ecology. DOI 10.1007/s10980-014-0078-z
Litschert, S.E., D.M. Theobald, and T.C. Brown. 2014. Effects of climate change and wildfire on soil loss in the Southern Rockies Ecoregion. Catena 118:206-219.
Mac Nally, R., C.M. Albano, E. Fleishman. 2014. A scrutiny of evidence for pressure-induced shifts in estuarine and nearshore ecosystems. Austral Ecology. 39:898-906.
Ray, C.M., B.G. Dickson, and T.D. Sisk. 2014. Spatial application of a predictive northern goshawk occupancy model to alternative forest treatment models. Forest Ecology and Management 322:117-126.
Reed, S.E., J.A. Hilty, and D.M. Theobald. 2014. Guidelines and incentives for conservation development in local land-use regulations. Conservation Biology 28(1): 258-268.
Sankey, T., B.G. Dickson, S.E. Sesnie, O. Wang, A.D. Olsson, and L.J. Zachmann. 2014. High spatial resolution models of Sahara mustard occurrence and cover in the Sonoran Desert of southwestern Arizona. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing 80:885-893.
Smith, M.R., D.A. Moon, and R.D. Scherer. 2014. Seasonal survival and treatment use of Northern Bobwhites in Kansas. Transactions of the Kansas Academy of Science 117:1-14.
Theobald, D.M. 2014. Development and applications of a comprehensive land use classification and map for the U.S. PLOS ONE. DOI: 10.1371 / journal.pone.0094628
Wang, O., L. Zachmann, S.E. Sesnie, A.D. Olsson, and B.G. Dickson. 2014. A targeted sampling design informed by habitat suitability models for detecting focal plant species over extensive areas. PLoS ONE 9(7): e0101196.
Albano, C.M., C. Angelo, R. Strauch, and L. Thurman. 2013. Potential Effects of Climate Warming on Visitor Use in Three Alaskan National Parks. Park Science. 30:36-43.
Brown, M.L., T.M. Donovan, W.S. Schwenk, and D.M. Theobald. 2013. Predicting impacts of future human population growth and development on occupancy rates of forest-dependent birds. Biological Conservation 170: 311-320.
Cova, T.J., D.M. Theobald, J.B. Norman, III, and L.K. Siebeneck. 2013. Mapping wildfire evacuation vulnerability in the western US: the limits of infrastructure. GeoJournal 78(2): 273-285.
Dickson, B.G., G. Roemer, B.H. McRae, and J.M. Rundall. 2013. Models of regional habitat quality and connectivity for pumas (Puma concolor) in the southwestern Unites States. PLoS ONE 8(12): e81898.
Dickson, B.G., S.E. Sesnie, E. Fleishman, and D.S. Dobkin. 2013. Identification of habitat and assessment of habitat quality for conservation of terrestrial animals. Pages 149-173 in L. Craighead and C. Convis, eds., Conservation planning: shaping the future. Esri Press, Redlands, CA, USA.
Horncastle, V.J., R.F. Yarborough, B.G. Dickson, and S.R. Rosenstock. 2013. Summer habitat use by adult female mule deer in a restoration-treated ponderosa pine forest. Wildlife Society Bulletin. DOI: 10.1002/wsb.301.
Muths, E., R.D. Scherer, and J. Bosch. 2013. Evidence for plasticity in the frequency of skipped breeding opportunities in common toads. Population Ecology 55:535-544.
Peterson, E.E., J.M. ver Hoef, D.J. Isaak, J.A. Falke, M.J. Fortin, C.E. Jordan, K. McNyset, P. Monestiez, A.S. Ruesch, A. Sengupta, N. Som, E.A. Steel, D.M. Theobald, C.E. Torgersen, and S.J. Wenger. 2013. Modeling dendritic ecological networks in space: an integrated network perspective. Ecology Letters 16: 707-719.
Theobald, D.M. 2013. A general model to quantify ecological integrity for landscape assessments and U.S. application. Landscape Ecology DOI 10.1007/s10980-013-9941-6.
Theobald, D.M. 2013. Integrating land use and landscape change with conservation planning. Pgs 106-121 in L. Craighead and C. Convis, eds., Conservation planning: shaping the future. ESRI Press, Redlands, CA, USA.
Theobald, D.M., W.R. Travis, M.A. Drummond, E.S. Gordon, and M. Betsill. 2013. The changing Southwest. Pgs. 37-55 in Assessment of climate change in the southwestern United States. Island Press.
Thomas, M.A., G.W. Roemer , C.J. Donlan, B.G. Dickson, M. Matocq, and J. Malaney. 2013. Gene tweaking for conservation. Nature 501:485-486.
Miller, R.S., M.L. Farnsworth, and J.L. Malmberg. 2013. Diseases at the livestock-wildlife interface: Status, challenges, and opportunities in the United States. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 10:119-132.
Baldwin, R.F., S.E. Reed, B.H. McRae, D.M. Theobald, and R.W. Sutherland. 2012. Connectivity restoration in large landscapes: Modeling landscape condition and ecological flows. Ecological Restoration 30(4): 274-279.
Bradley, B.B., A.D. Olsson, B.G. Dickson, S.E. Sesnie, O. Wang, L. Pelech, and L. Zachmann. 2012. Species detection vs. habitat suitability: Are we biasing habitat suitability models with remotely sensed data? Ecological Modelling 244:57-64.
Farnsworth, M.L., R.S. Miller, K. Pederson, M.W. Lutman, S.R. Swafford, P.D. Riggs, and C.T. Webb. 2012. Environmental and demographic determinants of avian influenza viruses in waterfowl across the contiguous United States. PLoS ONE 7(3): e32729.
Holcomb, C.M., T.D. Sisk, B.G. Dickson, S.E. Sesnie, and E.N. Aumack. 2012. Administrative boundaries and ecological divergence: the divided history and coordinated future of land management on the Kaibab Plateau, Arizona, USA. Pages 1-20 in C. Van Riper, III, M. L. Villareal, C. J. van Riper, and M. J. Johnson, eds., The Colorado Plateau V: research, environmental planning, and management for collaborative conservation. University of Arizona Press, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Kalies, E.L., B.G. Dickson, C.L. Chambers, and W.W. Covington. 2012. Restoration treatments increase occupancy of the small mammal community in ponderosa pine forests, northern Arizona, USA. Ecological Applications 22:204-217.
Litschert, S.E., T.C. Brown, and D.M. Theobald. 2012. Historic and future extent of wildfires in the Southern Rockies Ecoregion, USA. Forest Ecology and Management 269: 124-133.
McRae, B.H., S.A. Hall, P. Beier, and D.M. Theobald. 2012. Where to restore ecological connectivity? Detecting barriers and quantifying restoration benefits. PLoS ONE 7(12): e52604.
Scherer, R.D., E. Muths, B.R. Noon, S.J. Oyler-McCance. 2012. The genetic structure of a relict population of wood frogs. Conservation Genetics 13:1521-1530.
Scherer, R.D., E. Muths, and B.R. Noon. 2012. The importance of local and landscape-scale processes to the occupancy of wetlands by pond-breeding amphibians. Population Ecology 54:487-498.
Sesnie, S.E., B.G. Dickson, S. Rosenstock, and J.M. Rundall. 2012. A comparison of Landsat TM and MODIS vegetation indices for estimating forage phenology in desert bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis nelsoni) habitat in the Sonoran Desert, USA. International Journal of Remote Sensing 33:276-286.
Sesnie, S.E., B.G. Dickson, J.M. Rundall, and T.D. Sisk. 2012. Assessment of mixed conifer forest conditions on the Kaibab National Forest, Arizona, USA. Pages 23-41 in C. van Riper, III, M. L. Villareal, C. J. van Riper, and M. J. Johnson, eds., The Colorado Plateau V: research, environmental planning, and management for collaborative conservation. University of Arizona Press, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Theobald, D.M., S.E. Reed, K. Fields, and M. Soule. 2012. Connecting natural landscapes using a landscape permeability model to prioritize conservation activities in the US. Conservation Letters 5(2): 123-133.